Perhaps a provocative title to this blog, but this is a prediction based on what I am observing.
First, a bit of history. The GOP has long been moving to become increasingly oriented towards white voters who feel threatened by the growing non-white population and other perceived attacks on "their" culture. If you don't get that, start with this Wiki article on the Southern Strategy.
The problem with this strategy is this: the demographics are changing against its long-term viability. Over a decade ago, GOP strategists understood this well. Their response was the REDMAP strategy. In short, get control of legislatures by directing national money to targeted local districts. Then, Gerrymander and use voter suppression as much as possible. It worked. And as it worked, the ability of the GOP to double-down on the Southern Strategy (now, no longer even thinly veiled white nationalism) without penalty only increased. Where we are today, the soul of the GOP is white nationalism, and there does not seem to be clear path for them to go back.
Which leads me to the future. Eventually, they will no longer be able to win the popular vote in state wide elections in Texas (and Virginia, North Carolina, and many other "Red States"). However, I believe GOP strategists already know this. What I expect to see soon is a push to return the selection of Electoral College Electors and also Senate members to the state legislatures. Why? Because the Democrat vote is concentrated in urban areas. Consequently, the combination of Gerrymandering and a representation system that values square feet over people will allow situations like Wisconsin.
In 2018, a Democrat won every state wide election and the majority of people who voted for a WI State assembly member voted for a Democrat; nevertheless, the GOP has a near 2-1 majority in the assembly. Similar things have happened in North Carolina. So, you can see where this is going.
A possible next step along the way may likely be a major push to break up electoral votes from winner-take-all to split-by-district. However, this will only happen in states where it would benefit the GOP nationally. That is, there will be a push for this in places like MN, CA, WI, etc. But not Texas (not yet anyway).
Whatever it looks like, I am sure of this: The GOP will move to make our democracy less democratic. And it will be so that white rural voters can rule from a minority position. I am not wrong.
